June 22, 2006
World's Largest Solar Plant Planned in Bay Area
by Paul Rogers, Mercury News
Palo Alto, California [Mercury News]
A Palo Alto company has decided to build the world's
largest factory for making solar power cells in the Bay Area -- a move that
would nearly triple the nation's solar manufacturing capacity and give a
significant boost to a growing source of clean energy.
"The real innovation is that we're trying to move the
photovoltaics industry from the economics of the semiconductor business to the
economics of the printing business."
-- Erik Straser, a general partner
in MDV-Mohr Davidow Ventures of Menlo Park, one of the venture capital firms
that is funding Nanosolar
Nanosolar, a privately held company founded in 2001 with
seed money from Google founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin, is scheduled to make
the announcement Wednesday, and in the next two to six weeks will select either
San Jose, Santa Clara or San Francisco for the facility.
At capacity, the
factory could turn out enough solar cells each year to generate 430 megawatts of
electricity, said Nanosolar CEO Martin Roscheisen. That's enough electricity to
power about 325,000 homes. By comparison, all solar manufacturing plants in the
United States combined currently produce enough cells each year to generate 153
megawatts.
Backers of solar power said the project is the latest example
of how demand for solar is rapidly expanding, and how the technology, once the
realm of hippies and back-to-the-land advocates, has become a hot commodity
among some of the same Silicon Valley engineers and venture capitalists who made
a fortune in the 1990s during the Internet boom.
"This is a spectacular
announcement,'' said Rhone Resch, president of the Solar Energy Industries
Association, in Washington, DC.
"This is a very important step for us to
address the energy crisis we face in this country. We cannot drill our way out
or mine our way out, but we can manufacture our way out.''
Roscheisen
said he will open the new factory, which will employ several hundred people, by
the end of 2006, and expects to begin producing a type of paper-thin, flexible
solar cell in 2007. Two weeks ago, he met with San Jose Mayor Ron Gonzales to
discuss possible locations.
David Vossbrink, a spokesman for the city,
said San Jose is willing to streamline permits and reduce building fees for the
company, but has not offered cash incentives. It was unclear Tuesday what
incentives, if any, San Francisco and Santa Clara might offer.
The cells,
each several inches across, will be assembled at first into solar panels in
Germany, one of the world's biggest markets for solar power, Roscheisen said.
Eventually, the panels will be shaped to fit archways, columns and other parts
of buildings. The company has arrangements to sell the panels for use on the
rooftops of large buildings, on homes and as stand-alone power plants, he
said.
"This is a good space right now,'' said Roscheisen, 37, who holds a
doctorate in engineering from Stanford University, and who sold his Internet
company eGroups to Yahoo for $432 million in 2000.
"The market is very,
very large. The technology is very complex. Once you figure out the technology,
there are real opportunities.''
Globally, the solar industry totaled
$11.2 billion in 2005 -- up 55 percent from a year earlier. It is projected to
reach $51 billion by 2015, according data compiled by Clean Edge, a business
research firm based in Oakland.
The U.S. has lagged Japan and Europe in
solar production, and is now a distant third, with about 10 percent of the
global market. The new plant would move the U.S. to second place, behind
Japan.
High oil and natural gas prices, along with concerns over global
warming, are driving demand, said Ron Pernick, a spokesman for Clean
Edge.
"Solar has been expanding at growth rates more akin to the personal
computer industry than the energy industry,'' Pernick said. "There is a real
ramping up of manufacturing and output. This is a big coup for the Bay
Area.''
Pernick noted, however, that a key question will be how fast
Nanosolar can ramp up to full capacity to run the world's largest solar factory.
Currently the world's largest solar factories are in Japan, run by Sharp and
Kyocera.
"It's one thing to announce your output target, and it is
another to bring it online,'' he said. "But if they can deliver on that, they
are going to be one of the first to deliver a mass-produced thin film at
competitive prices.''
About 90 percent of the world's solar energy comes
from solar panels made of cells containing silicon crystals. Simply put,
sunlight hits a silicon cell, exciting electrons and creating an electric
current.
Demand is so high that there is a shortage worldwide in the kind
of refined silicon that solar panels are made of.
But Nanosolar and other
companies, such as Miasole, a privately held San Jose firm, have discarded
silicon as their semiconductor material. Instead, they are working on
mass-producing a complicated new technology: printing photovoltaic cells onto
flexible plastic and foil, using a copper alloy that absorbs light and creates
electricity.
The goal is to dramatically bring down costs, which have
been the main stumbling block for expanding solar.
Nanosolar has been
working on prototypes for four years. Roscheisen said Nanosolar's cells are now
as efficient as traditional silicon cells, and can be manufactured at one-fifth
the cost. However, its thin-film technology is not available for sale
yet.
"This company is much more similar to printing a newspaper than
making computer chips. We start with a giant roll of foil and print on it and
cut it up,'' said Erik Straser, a general partner in MDV-Mohr Davidow Ventures
of Menlo Park, one of the venture capital firms that is funding Nanosolar. The
company has raised $100 million to date.
"The real innovation is that
we're trying to move the photovoltaics industry from the economics of the
semiconductor business to the economics of the printing business,'' Straser
said.
Solar also is at the center of other Silicon Valley efforts. Last
November, SunPower, a San Jose spin-off of Cypress Semiconductor, went public in
one of the more successful technology IPOs of the year. The company's stock was
offered at $18 and trades now at $27.
Roscheisen said Nanosolar decided
to open a factory in the Bay Area, rather than in China or another developing
nation, because being close to its R&D center in Palo Alto was important,
and because labor costs are a relatively small part of the overall operation
since so much is automated.
"I can't even remember the last time a major
manufacturing facility opened here,'' said Carl Guardino, president and CEO of
the Silicon Valley Leadership Group. "We would probably have to go back to the
time of polyester suits and much wider ties.''
Environmentalists also
were encouraged.
"Cleaning up the environment can be an economic
opportunity,'' said Carl Pope, national executive director of the Sierra Club,
in San Francisco. "We are going to need these kind of breakthroughs. It is
wonderful that Silicon Valley is taking the lead and that it is happening
here.''
This article was originally published by the San Jose-based
Mercury News and reprinted here with permission from the publisher, Knight
Ridder. For the Mercury News, see the following link.
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Reader Comments (8)
Adrian Akau
June 24, 2006
The lower the efficiency, the greater the surface area needed for a given power and then more panels would be needed. Connection expenses and cell support (backing) costs (the modules are paper thin) also have to be added.
adrianakau@aol.com
adrianakau@aol.com
michael taylor
June 25, 2006
Richard Molby
June 25, 2006
Chris Nelder
June 26, 2006
Terence
June 28, 2006
peter segaar
June 30, 2006
http://www.solar-fabrik.com/index.php?id=27
I am delighted that U.S.A. is picking up the solar PV track and doing it with thorough means.
One aspect escapes me: life expectancy of the cited technology. "Paper thin" is good for resource efficiency, but may be a wild card when applied to buildings with extreme environmental constraints: extreme heat in summer, extreme cold in winter (especially in continental climates), hail, snow ballast, water, and, especially, the extreme fluctuations between these conditions in many "typical" climates in countries where these techniques will be applied in first instance.
Lots of succes, but remember that each technology has its drawbacks. Don't let these frighten you away from another promising development in one of the most sustainable energy technologies of the day: solar it must be, and solar it will be.
Christian Antal
July 3, 2006
Vik
April 6, 2007
If we cut down the panel price to 1/10 , it means $0.4 watt per. Let assume company makes 100% profit, even then it will take nanosolar to cell (100 Million/0.4) 250 Mega Watts of panels to recover just the invetment cost ??
I think the price of panels may go down by 50% at most.
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